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DOI Prefix: 10.47001/IRJIET

Forecasting Future Trends of Adolescent Fertility for Afghanistan Using Artificial Neural Networks

Smartson. P. NYONIZICHIRe Project, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, ZimbabweThabani NYONIIndependent Researcher & Health Economist, Harare, Zimbabwe

Vol 7 No 2 (2023): Volume 7, Issue 2, February 2023 | Pages: 499-502

International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology

OPEN ACCESS | Research Article | Published Date: 25-09-2023

doi Logo doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2023.702083

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Abstract

This research article employs annual time series data on adolescent fertility rate for Afghanistan from 1960 to 2020 to predict future trends of adolescent fertility rate over the period 2021 to 2030. The forecast evaluation criteria of the applied model indicate that the ANN (12, 12, 1) model is stable. The neural network model projections revealed that adolescent fertility will hover around 55 births per 1000 women aged 15-19 years throughout the out of sample period. Therefore, we encourage the government to improve access to quality and affordable sexual and reproductive health services among adolescents, promote girl child education and protect sexual and reproductive health rights of women and girls.

Keywords

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Citation of this Article

Smartson. P. NYONI, Thabani NYONI, “Forecasting Future Trends of Adolescent Fertility for Afghanistan Using Artificial Neural Networks” Published in International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology - IRJIET, Volume 7, Issue 2, pp 499-502, February 2023. Article DOI https://doi.org/10.47001/IRJIET/2023.702083

Licence Copyright (c) 2026 International Research Journal of Innovations in Engineering and Technology creative common licence This work is licensed under Creative common Attribution Non Commercial 4.0 Internation Licence
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